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Double-counting Replacement Level (August 25, 2003)
Discussion ThreadPosted 4:30 p.m.,
September 3, 2003
(#28) -
Kevin Sharp
Following up on #27, a simple binomial distribution would tell you that a Hobbs who goes 98 for 100 is probably at least a .930 hitter. Applying the same regression to a .290 hitter as a .980 hitter seems a little foolish. At the extremes (even in real baseball), there can be signature significance even within (relatively) small samples.